Chinese Super League | Gameweek 24

Aug 26, 2023 at 12.35pm UK

Jinzhou Stadium

Cangzhou
1 - 5
Beijing Guoan

Owusu-Sekyere (85')
Owusu-Sekyere (3'), Wang (36'), Kaimu (45+1')
Zhao (0')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Liu (10' og.), Xizhe (17'), Abreu (43', 47'), Kang (53')
Ziming (13'), Abreu (45+1'), Wang (59'), Tianyi (90+3'), (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Cangzhou Mighty Lions and Beijing Guoan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cangzhou Mighty Lions

All competitions

Last Game: Changchun 3-1 Cangzhou
Sunday, August 20 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Beijing Guoan

All competitions

Last Game: Beijing Guoan 2-1 Sh. Shenhua
Saturday, August 19 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.

Result
Cangzhou Mighty Lions	Draw	Beijing Guoan
27.79% ( -0.12)	26.07% ( 0.03)	46.15% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 50.9% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.96% (

-0.18)

53.04% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.37% (

-0.15)

74.63% (

0.15)

Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.06% (

-0.19)

33.94% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.38% (

-0.21)

70.61% (

0.21)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.05% (

-0.03)

22.95% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.28% (

-0.04)

56.72% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 27.79%

Beijing Guoan 46.15%

Draw 26.06%

Cangzhou Mighty Lions	Draw	Beijing Guoan
1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 27.79%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.06%	0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 46.15%