Chinese Super League | Gameweek 20
Aug 4, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Workers' Stadium
Beijing Guoan3 - 1Henan
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Henan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shandong 3-0 Beijing Guoan
Sunday, July 30 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Sunday, July 30 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Henan 3-1 Shenzhen
Friday, July 28 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Friday, July 28 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
17
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 52.49%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 22.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Henan Songshan Longmen |
52.49% ( -0.36) | 24.69% ( -0.02) | 22.82% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 50.43% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
