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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 14
Jul 3, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Dalian University Stadium

Chengdu Qianbao
0 - 1
Beijing Guoan

FT(HT: 0-1)
Naibijiang (24')
Dabao (47'), Ngadeu-Ngadjui (56'), Han (62'), Souza (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Chinese Super League clash between Chengdu Qianbao and Beijing Guoan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shandong 2-2 Chengdu Qianbao
Tuesday, August 8 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 1-2 Shanghai Port
Thursday, June 29 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 Beijing Guoan

Having lost jut three times this season, we cannot rule out Beijing earning a share of the spoils in this contest, maybe even a narrow win. However, Chengdu have the momentum, and the extra belief in the final third may prove pivotal during the closing quarter of the match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Chengdu QianbaoDrawBeijing Guoan
38.31% (-0.29199999999999 -0.29) 26.07% (0.043000000000003 0.04) 35.61% (0.253 0.25)
Both teams to score 53.92% (-0.116 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.45% (-0.16 -0.16)50.55% (0.16399999999999 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.53% (-0.14 -0.14)72.47% (0.14500000000001 0.15)
Chengdu Qianbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)25.79% (0.238 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.26% (-0.32 -0.32)60.74% (0.325 0.33)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66% (0.076999999999998 0.08)27.34% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.21% (0.096000000000004 0.1)62.79% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Chengdu Qianbao 38.31%
    Beijing Guoan 35.61%
    Draw 26.07%
Chengdu QianbaoDrawBeijing Guoan
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.4% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.47% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.045 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 38.31%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.05% (0.046 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 9.15% (0.078999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.04% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.93% (0.063 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.47% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 35.61%

How you voted: Chengdu Qianbao vs Beijing Guoan

Chengdu Qianbao
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Beijing Guoan
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Jun 30, 2022 12.30pm
Jun 8, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 2
Chengdu Qianbao
2-3
Beijing Guoan
Sen (26' og.), Zhuoyi (45+5')
Chow (59')
Abdugheni (41'), Gou (74'), Chow (89')
Pengxiang (11'), Zhang (31' og.), Zhang (45')
Wang (35'), Zhang (40'), Dabao (48'), Tianyi (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shanghai PortShanghai Port30253296306678
2Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua30245173205377
3Chengdu RongchengChengdu30185765313459
4Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan30168665353056
5Shandong TaishanShandong3013984940948
6Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen30126124447-342
7Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang30115145560-538
8HenanHenan3099123439-536
9Changchun YataiChangchun3088144658-1232
10Qingdao Youth Island3088144158-1732
11Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT3087153144-1331
12Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou3078153357-2429
13Sichuan JiuniuSichuan3078152955-2629
14Qingdao Hainiu3085172855-2729
15Meizhou Hakka3069152955-2627
16Nantong Zhiyun3057183266-3422


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