Having lost jut three times this season, we cannot rule out Beijing earning a share of the spoils in this contest, maybe even a narrow win. However, Chengdu have the momentum, and the extra belief in the final third may prove pivotal during the closing quarter of the match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result
Chengdu Qianbao	Draw	Beijing Guoan
38.31% ( -0.29)	26.07% ( 0.04)	35.61% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 53.92% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.45% (

-0.16)

50.55% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.53% (

-0.14)

72.47% (

0.15)

Chengdu Qianbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.21% (

-0.23)

25.79% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.26% (

-0.32)

60.74% (

0.33)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.66% (

0.08)

27.34% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.21% (

0.1)

62.79% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Chengdu Qianbao 38.31%

Beijing Guoan 35.61%

Draw 26.07%

Chengdu Qianbao	Draw	Beijing Guoan
1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.31%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 35.61%