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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 13
Jun 29, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Workers' Stadium
Shanghai Port

Beijing Guoan
1 - 2
Shanghai Port

Hao (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wenjun (44'), Mirahmetjan (65')
Mirahmetjan (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Shanghai Port, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dalian Pro 2-2 Beijing Guoan
Friday, June 9 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Shanghai Port 2-1 Nantong Zhiyun
Friday, June 9 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Beijing Guoan 1-2 Shanghai Port

Beijing Guoan's undefeated home streak will meet the undefeated away record of Shanghai Port in this match, which should lead to a close encounter between the two. The hosts are strong in the attack while the visitors are equally as impressive defensively which should lead to a very close match, but it is one the league leaders are likely to just edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Shanghai Port in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Shanghai Port.

Result
Beijing GuoanDrawShanghai Port
26.71% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07) 24.04% (-0.3 -0.3) 49.25% (0.36499999999999 0.36)
Both teams to score 56.51% (0.937 0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.72% (1.265 1.27)45.28% (-1.267 -1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.38% (1.199 1.2)67.62% (-1.201 -1.2)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.31% (0.61200000000001 0.61)30.68% (-0.615 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.06% (0.718 0.72)66.93% (-0.72 -0.72)
Shanghai Port Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.53% (0.63600000000001 0.64)18.47% (-0.637 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.33% (1.065 1.07)49.66% (-1.068 -1.07)
Score Analysis
    Beijing Guoan 26.71%
    Shanghai Port 49.25%
    Draw 24.03%
Beijing GuoanDrawShanghai Port
1-0 @ 6.7% (-0.252 -0.25)
2-1 @ 6.68% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 3.96% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.63% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 26.71%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.313 -0.31)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.116 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 9.57% (-0.326 -0.33)
1-2 @ 9.55% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 8.08% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-3 @ 5.38% (0.128 0.13)
0-3 @ 4.55% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.18% (0.127 0.13)
1-4 @ 2.27% (0.099 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.92% (0.052 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 49.25%

How you voted: Beijing Guoan vs Shanghai Port

Beijing Guoan
21.4%
Draw
14.3%
Shanghai Port
64.3%
14
Head to Head
Dec 27, 2022 7am
Oct 5, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Shanghai Port
0-1
Beijing Guoan
Tianyi (22')
Jul 28, 2021 9.30am
Gameweek 9
Beijing Guoan
1-1
Shanghai Port
Dabao (88')
Yang (50'), Zhongguo (84')
Shenchao (60')
Apr 28, 2021 11am
Shanghai Port
3-1
Beijing Guoan
Lopes (1', 4'), Wenjun (81')
Mooy (46'), Guan (64')
Viera (22')
Wang (28'), Li (29'), Cao (50'), (56')
Nov 11, 2020 11.35am
Third-Place Playoff
Beijing Guoan
1-1
Shanghai Port
Carvalho (31')
Yang (26'), Li (70'), Fernando (87')
Lopes (47')
Huan (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shanghai PortShanghai Port30253296306678
2Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua30245173205377
3Chengdu RongchengChengdu30185765313459
4Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan30168665353056
5Shandong TaishanShandong3013984940948
6Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen30126124447-342
7Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang30115145560-538
8HenanHenan3099123439-536
9Changchun YataiChangchun3088144658-1232
10Qingdao Youth Island3088144158-1732
11Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT3087153144-1331
12Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou3078153357-2429
13Sichuan JiuniuSichuan3078152955-2629
14Qingdao Hainiu3085172855-2729
15Meizhou Hakka3069152955-2627
16Nantong Zhiyun3057183266-3422


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