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Chinese Super League playoffs | Third-Place Playoff
Nov 11, 2020 at 11.35am UK
Suzhou Olympic Sports Centre Stadium
Shanghai Port

Beijing Guoan
1 - 1
Shanghai SIPG

Carvalho (31')
Yang (26'), Li (70'), Fernando (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lopes (47')
Huan (59')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League playoffs Third-Place Playoff clash between Beijing Guoan and Shanghai Port.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Shanghai SIPG had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Shanghai SIPG win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Beijing GuoanDrawShanghai Port
38.05%26.85%35.1%
Both teams to score 51.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.19%53.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.72%75.28%
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54%27.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05%62.95%
Shanghai Port Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.77%29.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.82%65.18%
Score Analysis
    Beijing Guoan 38.05%
    Shanghai Port 35.1%
    Draw 26.84%
Beijing GuoanDrawShanghai Port
1-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 8.25%
2-0 @ 6.7%
3-1 @ 3.55%
3-0 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 2.19%
4-1 @ 1.15%
4-0 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 38.05%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.03%
2-2 @ 5.07%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.84%
0-1 @ 9.87%
1-2 @ 7.85%
0-2 @ 6.07%
1-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 2.49%
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 35.1%

Head to Head
Nov 7, 2020 11.35am
Third-Place Playoff
Shanghai Port
1-2
Beijing Guoan
Guo (90' og.)
Yang (39'), Shenchao (65'), Chuangyi (86')
Bakambu (27'), Zhongguo (51')
Fernando (79')
Sep 25, 2020 1pm
Aug 22, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 18
Beijing Guoan
1-2
Shanghai Port
Bakambu (14')
Wang (25'), Dabao (66')
Shenchao (27'), Oscar (76')
Huan (16'), Binbin (40'), Yang (57'), Arnautovic (86')
Oct 19, 2019 12.35pm
Gameweek 26
Beijing Guoan
0-2
Shanghai Port

Dabao (24'), Yuning (83')
Li (49'), Akhmedov (66')
Wenjun (12'), Huikang (28')
May 26, 2019 12.35pm
Gameweek 11
Shanghai Port
2-1
Beijing Guoan
Oscar (28'), Huikang (78')
Huikang (30'), Junling (90'), Elkeson (90')
Dabao (58')
Gang (55')
rhs 2.0
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3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Fulham125341717018
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle125341313018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd124441313016
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham124351519-415
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Ipswich TownIpswich121651323-109
19Crystal Palace121561017-78
20Southampton121110924-154


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