Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai SIPG win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Chongqing Dangdai Lifan had a probability of 22.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai SIPG win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.89%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Chongqing Dangdai Lifan win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.