Chengdu have been an unstoppable force on the league front, having not lost since October, and are predictably big favourites for this clash. With their opponents on a 26-game unbeaten run, Shenzhen are unlikely to be the side to end that, despite their respectable recent home form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 52.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 22.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chengdu Qianbao would win this match.

Result
Shenzhen	Draw	Chengdu Qianbao
22.26% ( 0.54)	25.45% ( 0.3)	52.29% ( -0.84)

Both teams to score 47.58% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.18% (

-0.59)

54.82% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.87% (

-0.49)

76.12% (

0.49)

Shenzhen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.22% (

0.21)

39.78% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.55% (

0.19)

76.45% (

-0.19)

Chengdu Qianbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.01% (

-0.58)

20.99% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.24% (

-0.91)

53.76% (

0.92)

Score Analysis

Shenzhen 22.26%

Chengdu Qianbao 52.28%

Draw 25.44%

Shenzhen	Draw	Chengdu Qianbao
1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.36% Total : 22.26%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 10.17% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 4.88% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.3% Total : 52.28%