Changchun4 - 1Shenzhen
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, June 2 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
for
Friday, June 2 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
for
We said: Changchun Yatai 3-2 Shenzhen
The two worst defensive teams in the Chinese Super League competing against each other should lead to a game full of goals that will be ideal for any neutral fans. Both teams head into this one on the back of a defeat, but considering Shenzhen's poor away record it should be Changchun Yatai that takes all three points here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 58.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Shenzhen had a probability of 17.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Shenzhen win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Changchun Yatai | Draw | Shenzhen |
58.2% ( 0.78) | 23.94% ( -0.5) | 17.87% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 45.43% ( 0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
