Chinese Super League | Gameweek 10
May 5, 2024 at 12.35pm UK
Workers' Stadium
Beijing Guoan2 - 1Chengdu
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Chengdu Rongcheng.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tianjin Jinmen 0-1 Beijing Guoan
Tuesday, April 30 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Tuesday, April 30 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Chengdu 2-2 Wuhan TT
Wednesday, May 1 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Wednesday, May 1 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Goals
for
for
16
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Chengdu Rongcheng had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Chengdu Rongcheng win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Chengdu Rongcheng |
38.72% ( 0.15) | 25.48% ( 0.02) | 35.8% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 55.98% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
