Chinese Super League | Gameweek 29

Oct 29, 2023 at 7.30am UK

Workers' Stadium

Beijing Guoan
2 - 3
Chengdu Qianbao

Abreu (7' pen., 90+4')
Tianyi (66'), Ngadeu-Ngadjui (84'), Yennaris (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Silva (3', 73'), Palacios (90+6')
Miao (31'), Ruibao (49'), Palacios (90+8')
Gan (57')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Chengdu Rongcheng.

Form, Standings, Stats

Beijing Guoan

All competitions

Last Game: Shanghai Port 1-2 Beijing Guoan
Friday, October 20 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Chengdu Qianbao

All competitions

Last Game: Chengdu Qianbao 4-0 Shenzhen
Monday, October 23 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.1%). The likeliest Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Beijing Guoan	Draw	Chengdu Qianbao
38.16% ( -0.09)	25.26% ( -0.01)	36.58% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 56.81% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.13% (

0.04)

46.87% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.87% (

0.04)

69.12% (

-0.04)

Beijing Guoan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.8% (

-0.03)

24.2% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.47% (

-0.04)

58.53% (

0.04)

Chengdu Qianbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.94% (

0.07)

25.05% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.27% (

0.1)

59.73% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Beijing Guoan 38.16%

Chengdu Qianbao 36.58%

Draw 25.25%

Beijing Guoan	Draw	Chengdu Qianbao
1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 38.16%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 36.58%