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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 5
Apr 9, 2024 at 12.35pm UK
Workers' Stadium

Beijing Guoan
1 - 2
Sichuan

Xizhe (90+6' pen.)
Hao (31'), Ngadeu-Ngadjui (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Li (24'), Garcia (66' pen.)
Yudong (29'), Zhu (45+8'), Li (51'), Wang (87')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Beijing Guoan and Sichuan Jiuniu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Beijing Guoan 2-2 Shanghai Port
Friday, April 5 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Henan 0-2 Sichuan
Friday, April 5 at 12pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sichuan Jiuniu win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sichuan Jiuniu win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sichuan Jiuniu would win this match.

Result
Beijing GuoanDrawSichuan Jiuniu
35.1% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 25.35% (-0.029 -0.03) 39.55% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.35% (0.104 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.6% (0.136 0.14)47.4% (-0.137 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.39% (0.125 0.13)69.61% (-0.127 -0.13)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86% (0.073999999999998 0.07)26.14% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78% (0.1 0.1)61.21% (-0.103 -0.1)
Sichuan Jiuniu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29% (0.064999999999998 0.06)23.71% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.17% (0.096000000000004 0.1)57.83% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Beijing Guoan 35.1%
    Sichuan Jiuniu 39.55%
    Draw 25.34%
Beijing GuoanDrawSichuan Jiuniu
1-0 @ 8.31% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.59% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 35.1%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.2% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 8.92% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 39.55%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shanghai PortShanghai Port27233189276272
2Shanghai ShenhuaSh. Shenhua27224167165170
3Chengdu RongchengChengdu26164658273152
4Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan27147655332249
5Shandong TaishanShandong2711884035541
6Tianjin Jinmen TigerTianjin Jinmen26106103936336
7HenanHenan2697103235-334
8Zhejiang ProfessionalZhejiang27103144855-733
9Wuhan Three TownsWuhan TT2677122938-928
10Qingdao Youth Island2777133752-1528
11Cangzhou Mighty LionsCangzhou2677123152-2128
12Changchun YataiChangchun2776144056-1627
13Qingdao Hainiu2775152748-2126
14Sichuan JiuniuSichuan2766152552-2724
15Meizhou Hakka2658132751-2423
16Nantong Zhiyun2756163061-3121


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