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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Dacia Arena
Inter logo

Udinese
2 - 3
Inter Milan

Kabasele (35'), Lucca (83')
Karlstrom (26')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Frattesi (1'), Martinez (45+3', 47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 3-1 Salernitana
Wednesday, September 25 at 5.30pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-2 AC Milan
Sunday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 1-2 Inter Milan

Even though Udinese have become a tougher proposition since the back end of last season, Inter must surely post their first away win of the current campaign on Saturday. The Scudetto holders are going through a sticky patch at the moment, but their class will shine through and prove sufficient to secure maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Udinese win was 2-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawInter Milan
27.58% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 23.11% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 49.31% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.47% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.6% (0.089999999999996 0.09)40.39% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.23% (0.091999999999999 0.09)62.77% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.5% (0.051000000000002 0.05)27.5% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.99% (0.067 0.07)63% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (0.039000000000001 0.04)16.59% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.6% (0.067 0.07)46.39% (-0.067 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 27.58%
    Inter Milan 49.31%
    Draw 23.11%
UdineseDrawInter Milan
2-1 @ 6.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 5.89% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.94% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64%
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 27.58%
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.13% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.56% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.58% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 8.2% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.36% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.41% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.67% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.98% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.65% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 49.31%

How you voted: Udinese vs Inter Milan

Udinese
21.1%
Draw
15.6%
Inter Milan
63.3%
109
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Udinese
1-2
Inter Milan
Samardzic (40')
Pereyra (78')
Calhanoglu (55' pen.), Frattesi (90+5')
Martinez (90+3'), Pavard (90+2')
Dec 9, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Inter Milan
4-0
Udinese
Calhanoglu (37' pen.), Dimarco (42'), Thuram (44'), Martinez (84')
Inzaghi (36')

Ferreira (13'), Cioffi (79')
Feb 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Inter Milan
3-1
Udinese
Lukaku (20' pen.), Mkhitaryan (73'), Martinez (89')
Lovric (43')
Sep 18, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 7
Udinese
3-1
Inter Milan
Skriniar (22' og.), Bijol (84'), Arslan (90+3')
Barella (5')
May 1, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 35
Udinese
1-2
Inter Milan
Pussetto (72')
Mari (40'), Pereyra (65')
Perisic (12'), Martinez (39')
Vecino (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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