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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Udinese logo

Inter Milan
3 - 1
Udinese

Lukaku (20' pen.), Mkhitaryan (73'), Martinez (89')
Lukaku (22'), Darmian (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lovric (43')
Masina (22'), Bijol (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 2-2 Sassuolo
Sunday, February 12 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Udinese

No Serie A side has scored more times during the opening half-hour than Inter this season, while Udinese have often proved sluggish early on; conceding the most goals in the first 15 minutes. That seems like a recipe for defeat as far as the Fruilani are concerned - particularly as they lack the tools to fight back given their forwards' dire form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 12.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawUdinese
67.39% (1.867 1.87) 19.65% (-0.807 -0.81) 12.95% (-1.062 -1.06)
Both teams to score 47.11% (-0.335 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.05% (1.116 1.12)45.95% (-1.12 -1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.74% (1.048 1.05)68.26% (-1.052 -1.05)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.34% (0.884 0.88)12.66% (-0.889 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.17% (1.801 1.8)38.82% (-1.805 -1.81)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.94% (-0.94 -0.94)46.06% (0.937 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.23% (-0.74 -0.74)81.77% (0.736 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 67.39%
    Udinese 12.95%
    Draw 19.65%
Inter MilanDrawUdinese
2-0 @ 12.45% (0.24 0.24)
1-0 @ 12.05% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-0 @ 8.58% (0.442 0.44)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.175 0.18)
4-0 @ 4.43% (0.366 0.37)
4-1 @ 3.44% (0.201 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.83% (0.207 0.21)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.127 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 67.39%
1-1 @ 9.34% (-0.382 -0.38)
0-0 @ 5.83% (-0.282 -0.28)
2-2 @ 3.74% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 19.65%
0-1 @ 4.52% (-0.345 -0.35)
1-2 @ 3.62% (-0.249 -0.25)
0-2 @ 1.75% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 0.94% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 12.95%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Udinese

Inter Milan
90.5%
Draw
6.0%
Udinese
3.6%
84
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 11.30am
Udinese
3-1
Inter Milan
Skriniar (22' og.), Bijol (84'), Arslan (90+3')
Barella (5')
Bastoni (13')
May 1, 2022 5pm
Udinese
1-2
Inter Milan
Pussetto (72')
Mari (40'), Pereyra (65')
Perisic (12'), Martinez (39')
Vecino (90+2')
Oct 31, 2021 11.30am
May 23, 2021 2pm
Inter Milan
5-1
Udinese
Young (8'), Eriksen (44'), Martinez (55' pen.), Perisic (64'), Lukaku (71')
Martinez (26')
Pereyra (79' pen.)
Jan 23, 2021 5pm
Udinese
0-0
Inter Milan

Arslan (10'), Samir (37'), Zeegelaar (78')

Bastoni (66'), Sensi (83')
Conte (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli1410222191232
2Atalanta BCAtalanta14101336162031
3Inter Milan1384131141728
4Fiorentina1384127101728
5Lazio1491429171228
6Juventus146802281426
7AC Milan136432314922
8Bologna135621816221
9Udinese145271621-517
10Empoli143741014-416
11Parma143652022-215
12Torino144371620-415
13CagliariCagliari143561524-914
14Genoa143561324-1114
15Roma143471420-613
16Lecce14347722-1513
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1440101733-1612
18Como142571426-1211
19Monza141761217-510
20VeneziaVenezia1422101125-148


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