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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Feb 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Udinese logo

Torino
1 - 0
Udinese

Karamoh (49')
Aina (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lovric (82'), Becao (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Torino
Wednesday, February 1 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Hellas Verona
Monday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-0 Udinese

While Udinese have attempted the most shots in Serie A since the winter break, and at least 11 more than any other side, they have struggled for goals of late - and Torino are not the easiest nut to crack. For that reason, a low-scoring contest may be edged by the hosts, who would then overhaul their visitors in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 46.5%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawUdinese
46.5% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 27.19% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 26.3% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 46.59% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.91% (0.042000000000002 0.04)58.09% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.24% (0.035 0.04)78.76% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)24.99% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)59.64% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.11% (0.057000000000002 0.06)37.89% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.34% (0.059000000000001 0.06)74.66% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Torino 46.49%
    Udinese 26.3%
    Draw 27.19%
TorinoDrawUdinese
1-0 @ 13.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.1% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.84%
3-0 @ 4.21% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.08%
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 46.49%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 9.47% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.19%
0-1 @ 9.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 2% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 26.3%

How you voted: Torino vs Udinese

Torino
56.7%
Draw
26.7%
Udinese
16.7%
60
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 11.30am
Feb 6, 2022 5pm
Udinese
2-0
Torino
Molina (90+3'), Pussetto (90+7' pen.)
Jajalo (36'), Soppy (66'), Arslan (67')

Lukic (20'), Mandragora (65'), Singo (67'), Praet (72')
Mandragora (90+2')
Nov 22, 2021 7.45pm
Torino
2-1
Udinese
Brekalo (8'), Bremer (48')
Zaza (90+2')
Forestieri (77')
Molina (16'), Pereyra (57'), Walace (68')
Apr 10, 2021 7.45pm
Udinese
0-1
Torino
Belotti (61' pen.)
Mandragora (40'), Buongiorno (49'), Zaza (90+2')
Dec 12, 2020 5pm
Torino
2-3
Udinese
Belotti (66'), Bonazzoli (67')
Lyanco (37'), Vojvoda (51'), Lukic (88')
Pussetto (24'), De Paul (54'), Nestorovski (69')
Pereyra (37'), Musso (76'), Becao (81')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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