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Serie A | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Udinese logo

Napoli
3 - 2
Udinese

Osimhen (15'), Zielinski (31'), Elmas (58')
Jesus (25'), Rui (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Nestorovski (79'), Samardzic (82')
Walace (27'), Pereyra (37'), Ebosse (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Empoli
Tuesday, November 8 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 1-1 Udinese
Tuesday, November 8 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-1 Udinese

Napoli are seeking their ninth straight home win in all competitions, and an Udinese side that could not maintain their magnificent start are not best placed to stop them. Such is the hosts' firepower, they can score goals from all quarters of a talented squad and will ultimately break down well-drilled opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 67.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 13.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawUdinese
67.93% (-0.27499999999999 -0.27) 18.8% (0.104 0.1) 13.27% (0.175 0.18)
Both teams to score 50.88% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.59% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)41.42% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.19% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)63.81% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.81% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)11.2% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.29% (-0.194 -0.19)35.71% (0.199 0.2)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.3% (0.231 0.23)42.7% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.96% (0.195 0.2)79.04% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 67.92%
    Udinese 13.27%
    Draw 18.8%
NapoliDrawUdinese
2-0 @ 11.46% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-0 @ 10.46% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.37% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.12% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.58% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.01% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.71% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 67.92%
1-1 @ 8.91% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.78% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.15% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 18.8%
0-1 @ 4.07% (0.037 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.79% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.73% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.18% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.08% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 13.27%

How you voted: Napoli vs Udinese

Napoli
89.9%
Draw
5.9%
Udinese
4.2%
119
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 2pm
Napoli
2-1
Udinese
Osimhen (52', 63')
Rrahmani (65'), Osimhen (90+2')
Deulofeu (22')
Zeegelaar (45+2'), Udogie (50')
Mari (82')
Sep 20, 2021 7.45pm
Udinese
0-4
Napoli

Samir (56'), Molina (66')
Osimhen (24'), Rrahmani (35'), Koulibaly (52'), Lozano (84')
Rui (82')
May 11, 2021 7.45pm
Napoli
5-1
Udinese
Zielinski (28'), Fabian (31'), Lozano (56'), Di Lorenzo (66'), Insigne (90+1')
Okaka (41')
Bonifazi (54')
Jan 10, 2021 2pm
Udinese
1-2
Napoli
Lasagna (27')
Arslan (44'), Samir (67'), Zeegelaar (86')
Insigne (15' pen.), Bakayoko (90')
Di Lorenzo (37'), Gattuso (52')
Jul 19, 2020 6.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108


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