Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Atalanta1 - 2Napoli
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Empoli 0-2 Atalanta
Sunday, October 30 at 11.30am in Serie A
Sunday, October 30 at 11.30am in Serie A
We said: Atalanta BC 1-2 Napoli
Atalanta have found the net in each of their last eight league games against Napoli - and Bologna, Ajax, and now Liverpool have each scored twice against the Serie A leaders over the past few weeks. However, the Azzurri's formidable firepower at the other end means they can breach their hosts' mean defence more than once and secure a ninth straight league win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Napoli in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Napoli |
30.42% ( 0.53) | 24.44% ( 0.21) | 45.14% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 57.79% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.2% ( -0.69) | 44.8% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.84% ( -0.67) | 67.15% ( 0.68) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.21% ( 0.01) | 27.79% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.62% ( 0.01) | 63.38% ( -0) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.03% ( -0.59) | 19.97% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.86% ( -0.96) | 52.14% ( 0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC 30.42%
Napoli 45.14%
Draw 24.44%
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 30.42% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.44% | 1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.95% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.95% Total : 45.14% |
How you voted: Atalanta vs Napoli
Atalanta BC
18.2%Draw
13.0%Napoli
68.8%253
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Dec 4, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 21, 2021 5pm
Atalanta
4-2
Napoli
Feb 10, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 3, 2021 7.45pm
