Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 12

Oct 29, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stadio San Paolo, Napoli

Napoli
4 - 0
Sassuolo

Osimhen (4', 19', 77'), Kvaratskhelia (36')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Lopez (75'), Lauriente (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 3-0 Rangers
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sassuolo

All competitions

Last Game: Sassuolo 2-1 Hellas Verona
Monday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

As Sassuolo have scored just four times in five away games so far, breaching a tight Napoli defence will prove a particular challenge. Given it is almost inevitable the hosts will score at least once, as they welcome back several stars from a midweek rest, the Serie A leaders' golden run should continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 70.88%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 12.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Sassuolo
70.88% ( -0)	16.51% ( 0)	12.6% ( 0)

Both teams to score 57.55% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.09%

31.91% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.54%

53.46% (

-0)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.01% (

-0)

7.99% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.82% (

-0)

28.17%

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.55% (

37.44% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.77% (

74.22% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Napoli 70.88%

Sassuolo 12.6%

Draw 16.51%

Napoli	Draw	Sassuolo
2-0 @ 9.55% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.38% 3-0 @ 8.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.9% 1-0 @ 7.56% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.08% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.99% 3-2 @ 3.88% 5-0 @ 2.57% 5-1 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 2.45% 5-2 @ 1.24% 6-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.55% Total : 70.88%	1-1 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.99% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.22% Total : 16.51%	1-2 @ 3.65% 0-1 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-2 @ 1.44% 1-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.87% Total : 12.6%