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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Sassuolo logo

Napoli
4 - 0
Sassuolo

Osimhen (4', 19', 77'), Kvaratskhelia (36')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Lopez (75'), Lauriente (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 3-0 Rangers
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sassuolo 2-1 Hellas Verona
Monday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-0 Sassuolo

As Sassuolo have scored just four times in five away games so far, breaching a tight Napoli defence will prove a particular challenge. Given it is almost inevitable the hosts will score at least once, as they welcome back several stars from a midweek rest, the Serie A leaders' golden run should continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 70.88%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 12.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
NapoliDrawSassuolo
70.88% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 16.51% (0.00099999999999767 0) 12.6% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 57.55% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.09%31.91% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.54%53.46% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)7.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.82% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)28.17%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)37.44% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.22% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 70.88%
    Sassuolo 12.6%
    Draw 16.51%
NapoliDrawSassuolo
2-0 @ 9.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.38%
3-0 @ 8.05% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 7.9%
1-0 @ 7.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 5.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 4.99%
3-2 @ 3.88%
5-0 @ 2.57%
5-1 @ 2.52%
4-2 @ 2.45%
5-2 @ 1.24%
6-0 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-1 @ 1.06%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 70.88%
1-1 @ 7.43%
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 2.99%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 16.51%
1-2 @ 3.65%
0-1 @ 2.94%
2-3 @ 1.51%
0-2 @ 1.44%
1-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 12.6%

How you voted: Napoli vs Sassuolo

Napoli
95.7%
Draw
2.1%
Sassuolo
2.1%
141
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 2pm
Napoli
6-1
Sassuolo
Koulibaly (7'), Osimhen (15'), Lozano (19'), Mertens (21', 54'), Rrahmani (80')
Lopez (87')
Lopez (18'), Frattesi (53'), Berardi (84')
Dec 1, 2021 7.45pm
Sassuolo
2-2
Napoli
Scamacca (71'), Marco Ferrari (89')
Rogerio (25'), Berardi (54'), Henrique (86'), Defrel (90+3')
Fabian (51'), Mertens (59')
Politano (84'), Demme (88')
Spalletti (90+1')
Mar 3, 2021 5.30pm
Sassuolo
3-3
Napoli
Maksimovic (34' og.), Berardi (45+1' pen.), Caputo (90+5' pen.)
Duricic (30'), Santos (79')
Zielinski (38'), Di Lorenzo (72'), Insigne (89' pen.)
Demme (69'), Ghoulam (77')
Nov 1, 2020 5pm
Napoli
0-2
Sassuolo

Manolas (61'), Ospina (90+6')
Locatelli (59' pen.), Lopez (90+5')
Locatelli (49'), Bourabia (90')
Jul 25, 2020 8.45pm
Napoli
2-0
Sassuolo
Hysaj (8'), Allan (90+3')
Mertens (69')

Berardi (40'), Duricic (68'), Santos (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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