Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 16, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Napoli3 - 2Bologna
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Napoli 4-2 Ajax
Wednesday, October 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Wednesday, October 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Sampdoria
Saturday, October 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Saturday, October 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Napoli 2-0 Bologna
Offering little attacking threat - particularly if Arnautovic is unable to start - Bologna should not stand in the way of Napoli extending their superb sequence of results this term. With an increasingly deep squad, the hosts can use a variety of personnel up front - all of whom should be too hot for their visitors to handle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 75.27%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 9.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Bologna |
75.27% ( 0.04) | 15.25% ( -0.01) | 9.48% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.57% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.91% ( -0.06) | 35.09% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.91% ( -0.06) | 57.09% ( 0.06) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.17% ( -0.01) | 7.83% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 72.22% ( -0.01) | 27.78% ( 0.01) |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.87% ( -0.1) | 45.13% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.96% ( -0.08) | 81.04% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Napoli 75.26%
Bologna 9.48%
Draw 15.25%
| Napoli | Draw | Bologna |
| 2-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0)1-0 @ 9% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.93% ( -0)5-0 @ 3.16% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.51% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.07% ( -0)5-2 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 75.26% | 1-1 @ 7.16% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 15.25% | 1-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.81% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.12% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 9.48% |
How you voted: Napoli vs Bologna
Napoli
93.7%Draw
1.8%Bologna
4.5%111
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2021 7.45pm
Nov 8, 2020 5pm
Jul 15, 2020 6.30pm
