Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Sep 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
1 - 1
Salernitana

Arnautovic (52' pen.)
Medel (64'), De Silvestri (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dia (88')
Gyomber (50'), Vilhena (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

Last Six:

Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Bologna
Saturday, August 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Sampdoria	4	-6	2
18	Bologna	3	-3	1
19	Cremonese	4	-5	0

Salernitana

Last Six:

Last Game: Salernitana 4-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, August 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Sassuolo	4	-2	5
12	Salernitana	3	3	4
13	Spezia	4	-4	4

We said: Bologna 1-1 Salernitana

Salernitana head into this fixture in high spirits following last weekend's convincing victory, while Bologna will be fired up as they bid to turn their fortunes around. Nevertheless, with little to separate these two closely-matched teams, a score draw could be on the cards at the Renato Dall'Ara. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 54.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 21.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Salernitana
54.53% ( -0.03)	23.88% ( 0)	21.58% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 51.31% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.56% (

0.02)

49.43% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.52% (

0.02)

71.47% (

-0.02)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.98% (

-0)

18.01% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.1% (

-0.01)

48.89% (

0.01)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.59% (

0.04)

37.4% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.81% (

0.04)

74.19% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Bologna 54.53%

Salernitana 21.58%

Draw 23.87%

Bologna	Draw	Salernitana
1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.73% 3-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.42% Total : 54.53%	1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0) Other @ 1% Total : 23.87%	0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 1.65% Total : 21.58%