Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 1

Aug 14, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
2 - 1
Bologna

De Silvestri (68' og.), Immobile (79')
Sarri (58'), Lazzari (71'), Immobile (90+1')
Maximiano (6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Arnautovic (38' pen.)
Sansone (23'), Arnautovic (38'), Soumaoro (40'), Cambiaso (53'), Aebischer (86')
Soumaoro (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

Last Six:

Last Game: Lazio 3-3 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Juventus	0	0	0
11	Lazio	0	0	0
12	Napoli	0	0	0

Bologna

Last Six:

Last Game: Bologna 1-0 Cosenza
Monday, August 8 at 8.15pm in Coppa Italia

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Torino	1	1	3
5	Bologna	0	0	0
6	Cremonese	0	0	0

Lazio have drawn the most opening round games of any Serie A club - 29 in all - but they will not add to that tally this weekend, as they breeze past Bologna. The hosts have recruited well, and Sarri's philosophy is becoming second nature to a talented squad. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Bologna
68.05% ( 0)	19.19% ( -0)	12.76% ( -0)

Both teams to score 48.07% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.63% (

0.01)

44.37% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.25% (

0.01)

66.75% (

-0.01)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.99% (

12.01% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.53% (

0.01)

37.47% (

-0.01)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.63% (

45.37% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.77% (

81.23% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Lazio 68.03%

Bologna 12.76%

Draw 19.19%

Lazio	Draw	Bologna
2-0 @ 12.23% 1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 8.65% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.58% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.62% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.7% 5-0 @ 1.94% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 68.03%	1-1 @ 9.13% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.79% Total : 19.19%	0-1 @ 4.31% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.61% 0-2 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.01% 1-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.19% Total : 12.76%