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Serie A | Gameweek 10
Oct 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Sassuolo logo

Atalanta
2 - 1
Sassuolo

Pasalic (45+1'), Lookman (46')
Scalvini (16')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kiriakopoulos (41')
Kiriakopoulos (21'), Pinamonti (24'), Thorstvedt (30'), Marco Ferrari (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 2-2 Atalanta
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, October 8 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-0 Sassuolo

Atalanta are the only side yet to trail in any of their games during this Serie A season, so Sassuolo have their work cut out to take the initiative on Saturday night. Both teams have markedly improved at the back this term, too, which could lead to a tightly-contested home win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 18.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawSassuolo
60.86% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 20.62% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 18.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.1% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.66% (0.030999999999999 0.03)39.33% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (0.033000000000001 0.03)61.67% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.49% (0.016999999999996 0.02)12.51% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.49% (0.038999999999994 0.04)38.51% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.73% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)71.46% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 60.86%
    Sassuolo 18.52%
    Draw 20.62%
Atalanta BCDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.39% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.88% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 6.5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.64% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 3.58% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.38% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.49% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 60.86%
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25%
0-0 @ 4.34% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.62%
1-2 @ 5.05% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 4.59% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.85%
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 18.52%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Sassuolo

Atalanta BC
86.8%
Draw
10.5%
Sassuolo
2.6%
114
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Sassuolo
2-1
Atalanta
Traore (24', 61')
Henrique (39'), Muldur (63')
Muriel (90+3')
Zappacosta (90+2')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
May 2, 2021 2pm
Sassuolo
1-1
Atalanta
Berardi (52' pen.)
Santos (28'), Chiriches (35'), Locatelli (40'), Obiang (45+1'), Marco Ferrari (53')
Santos (75')
Gosens (32')
Djimsiti (78')
Gollini (23')
Jan 3, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
5-1
Sassuolo
Zapata (11', 49'), Pessina (45'), Gosens (57'), Muriel (68')
Hateboer (25'), Romero (44'), de Roon (80')
Chiriches (75')
Chiriches (51')
Jun 21, 2020 6.30pm
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
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Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
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8pm
 
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Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
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8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
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Saturday, June 29
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Ukraine Ukraine21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Belgium Belgium10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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