Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 11, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Gewiss Stadium
We said: Atalanta BC 1-0 Cremonese
Atalanta should continue to capitalise on a fairly soft start to their schedule by beating Serie A newcomers once again. However, it may be by just a one-goal margin against an improving Cremonese side, who will have to wait for their first league win.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 70.72% . A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 11.5% .
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.1% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.55%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%) , while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (3.73%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood .
Result Atalanta BC Draw Cremonese 70.72% ( -0.03) 17.78% ( 0.01) 11.5% ( 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.88% ( 0.04)
58.81% ( 0.02) 41.19% ( -0.02)
36.42% ( 0.02) 63.58% ( -0.02)
89.59% ( -0) 10.41%
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 66.03% ( -0) 33.97% ( 0)
54.56% ( 0.04) 45.44% ( -0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 18.72% ( 0.03) 81.28% ( -0.03)
Atalanta BC 70.72%
Cremonese 11.5%
Draw 17.78%
Atalanta BC Draw Cremonese 2-0 @ 12.1% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0) 3-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.2% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.16% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.07% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.34% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 4.18% Total : 70.72% 1-1 @ 8.44% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 17.78% 0-1 @ 3.73% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.47% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 11.5%
How you voted: Atalanta vs Cremonese
97
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-18 14:14:00
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