MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:04:01| >> :600:3350536:3350536:
Udinese logo
Coppa Italia | Second Round
Sep 25, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Dacia Arena
Salernitana

Udinese
3 - 1
Salernitana

Bijol (20'), Lucca (44' pen.), Ekkelenkamp (47')
Davis (77'), Bijol (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Simy (25')
Velthuis (43'), Ruggeri (54'), Tello (79')
Maggiore (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Udinese and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 3-0 Udinese
Sunday, September 22 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Reggiana 0-0 Salernitana
Saturday, September 21 at 2pm in Serie B

We said: Udinese 2-0 Salernitana

These sides played out two 1-1 draws in Serie A last season, but Udinese are set to come out on top in Wednesday's cup clash, which will see Salernitana having to journey hundreds of miles north. With momentum on their side and some promising squad players standing ready to be promoted, the Friulani should get the job done against opponents that do not travel well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 50.95%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 25.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawSalernitana
50.95% (0.82100000000001 0.82) 23.23% (-0.197 -0.2) 25.82% (-0.621 -0.62)
Both teams to score 58.43% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.64% (0.372 0.37)42.37% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.23% (0.369 0.37)64.77% (-0.367 -0.37)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.28% (0.43900000000001 0.44)16.73% (-0.438 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.37% (0.77999999999999 0.78)46.64% (-0.778 -0.78)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17% (-0.28 -0.28)29.83% (0.282 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (-0.342 -0.34)65.92% (0.34400000000001 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 50.95%
    Salernitana 25.83%
    Draw 23.23%
UdineseDrawSalernitana
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.048 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.98% (0.101 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.111 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.76% (0.129 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.48% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.087 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.13% (0.087 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.04 0.04)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 50.95%
1-1 @ 10.79% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.23%
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-1 @ 6.04% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 25.83%

How you voted: Udinese vs Salernitana

Udinese
88.6%
Draw
4.5%
Salernitana
6.8%
44
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 27
Udinese
1-1
Salernitana
Kamara (45+3')
Ebosele (16'), Payero (36'), Gianetti (47'), Walace (75')
Ebosele (64')
Tchaouna (10')
Pellegrino (50')
Aug 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Salernitana
1-1
Udinese
Dia (72')
Botheim (60'), Pirola (64'), Bradaric (64'), Candreva (90+4')
Samardzic (57')
Lovric (49'), Kabasele (55'), Ferreira (70'), Walace (90+4')
May 27, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 37
Salernitana
3-2
Udinese
Kastanos (43'), Candreva (57'), Troost-Ekong (90+6')
Vilhena (37'), Kastanos (90+1'), Troost-Ekong (90+8')
Zeegelaar (25'), Nestorovski (30')
Zeegelaar (4'), Bijol (71')
Zeegelaar (87')
Aug 20, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 2
Udinese
0-0
Salernitana
Makengo (29'), Walace (45+1')
Perez (45+4')
Bonazzoli (35'), Bradaric (49'), Bronn (66'), Gyomber (74')
May 22, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 38
Salernitana
0-4
Udinese

Belec (45+4'), Nicola (74')
Deulofeu (6'), Nestorovski (34'), Udogie (42'), Pereyra (57')
Pereyra (58')
rhs 2.0
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