Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Forest Green Rovers in this match.