Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.