Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sutton United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sutton United.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Sutton United |
28.46% ( 0.11) | 24.66% ( 0.04) | 46.88% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 55.84% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.19% ( -0.09) | 46.8% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.94% ( -0.08) | 69.06% ( 0.08) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.83% ( 0.03) | 30.17% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.68% ( 0.04) | 66.32% ( -0.04) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.96% ( -0.09) | 20.04% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.75% ( -0.15) | 52.25% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Sutton United |
1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 28.46% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 46.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 38 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 37 |
3 | Barnet | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
4 | Gateshead | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 31 |
6 | Rochdale | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 30 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 25 |
10 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 24 |
11 | Eastleigh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 23 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 22 |
14 | Tamworth | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 21 |
16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 18 |
18 | Fylde | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 18 |
19 | Woking | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 17 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 16 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 16 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 11 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 8 |
> National League Full Table |