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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Wealdstone
National League | Gameweek 35
Apr 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Grosvenor Vale

Wealdstone
4 - 2
Dorking

Barrett (57'), Kretzschmar (70', 73' pen.), Allarakhia (77')
Henry (64'), Allarakhia (67'), Allarakhia (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Barker (46' og.), Carter (54')
Cook (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's National League clash between Wealdstone and Dorking Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wealdstone 1-2 Southend
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 0-0 Altrincham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League

We said: Wealdstone 1-1 Dorking Wanderers

Both teams will be desperate to claim the spoils in this crucial relegation six-pointer, but with the two sides finding wins hard to come by, we think that they could end up playing out a draw at Grosvenor Vale. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.

Result
WealdstoneDrawDorking Wanderers
49.81% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 23.31% (-0.087 -0.09) 26.88% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 59.15% (0.352 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.13% (0.439 0.44)41.86% (-0.441 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.73% (0.44 0.44)64.27% (-0.443 -0.44)
Wealdstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.04% (0.173 0.17)16.96% (-0.175 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.95% (0.307 0.31)47.05% (-0.308 -0.31)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.23% (0.27600000000001 0.28)28.77% (-0.277 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.39% (0.34 0.34)64.61% (-0.342 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Wealdstone 49.81%
    Dorking Wanderers 26.88%
    Draw 23.3%
WealdstoneDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 8.66% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.66% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.53% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 49.81%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.88% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.3%
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 26.88%

How you voted: Wealdstone vs Dorking

Wealdstone
63.6%
Draw
27.3%
Dorking Wanderers
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Dorking
3-1
Wealdstone
McShane (12'), Prior (28'), Taylor (35')
Craig (48'), Gallagher (57'), McShane (78')
Bowen (58')
Barker (8'), Mundle-Smith (70')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Wealdstone
2-2
Dorking
Hutchinson (3'), Clayden (48')
Gallagher (8'), Bowerman (39')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Dorking
3-1
Wealdstone
Seager (21'), Ottaway (70'), Bowerman (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet1180323111224
2York City117311861224
3Forest Green RoversForest Green116321991021
4Rochdale116231991020
5Gateshead106221914520
6Oldham AthleticOldham115511510520
7Eastleigh116231915420
8Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red114431912716
9Sutton UnitedSutton114431715216
10Halifax TownHalifax11443108216
11AltrinchamAltrincham114341314-115
12Woking114341214-215
13Southend UnitedSouthend113531614214
14Yeovil TownYeovil114251213-114
15Solihull MoorsSolihull114251317-414
16Tamworth104241117-614
17Aldershot TownAldershot113441616013
18Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool11344710-313
19Braintree TownBraintree11245612-610
20Fylde112361322-99
21Boston UnitedBoston112361120-99
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead112271219-78
23WealdstoneWealdstone11146715-87
24Ebbsfleet11128823-155


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