Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.
Result | ||
Wealdstone | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
49.81% ( 0.02) | 23.31% ( -0.09) | 26.88% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 59.15% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.13% ( 0.44) | 41.86% ( -0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.73% ( 0.44) | 64.27% ( -0.44) |
Wealdstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.04% ( 0.17) | 16.96% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.95% ( 0.31) | 47.05% ( -0.31) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.23% ( 0.28) | 28.77% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.39% ( 0.34) | 64.61% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Wealdstone | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.08% Total : 49.81% | 1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.3% | 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 26.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 24 |
2 | York City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 21 |
4 | Rochdale | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Gateshead | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 20 |
7 | Eastleigh | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 20 |
8 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 16 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 16 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
12 | Woking | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
16 | Tamworth | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 13 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 10 |
20 | Fylde | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 9 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 7 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 5 |
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