Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 66.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 14.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 1-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnet | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
66.96% ( -0.04) | 18.09% ( 0.02) | 14.94% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 58.3% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.93% ( -0.06) | 34.07% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.05% ( -0.06) | 55.95% ( 0.07) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.59% ( -0.03) | 9.41% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.35% ( -0.06) | 31.65% ( 0.06) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.35% ( -0) | 35.64% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.58% ( -0.01) | 72.41% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Barnet | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.61% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.38% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.93% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 4.62% Total : 66.96% | 1-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.09% | 1-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.71% 1-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 14.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 24 |
2 | York City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 21 |
4 | Rochdale | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Gateshead | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 20 |
7 | Eastleigh | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 20 |
8 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 16 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 16 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
12 | Woking | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
16 | Tamworth | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 13 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 10 |
20 | Fylde | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 9 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 7 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 5 |
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