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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
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Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Barnet
National League | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hive Stadium

Barnet
6 - 0
Dorking

Kabamba (10' pen.), O'Donkor (21'), Stead (31', 38'), Gorman (80'), Brunt (90+1')
Hall-Johnson (61'), Walker (74'), Okimo (77')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Taylor (9'), Cook (13'), Rutherford (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Barnet and Dorking Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnet

All competitions
Last Game: Barnet 2-1 Eastleigh
Tuesday, March 19 at 7.45pm in National League

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Dorking 1-1 Solihull
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League

We said: Barnet 2-0 Dorking Wanderers

 Barnet have been extremely strong at the Hive Stadium throughout this campaign, picking up the second most points of any club when playing in front of their home crowd so far. While Dorking's away form has been their strength, we believe that Barnet will prove too strong for them and end up victorious in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 66.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 14.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 1-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.22%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.

Result
BarnetDrawDorking Wanderers
66.96% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04) 18.09% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 14.94% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.3% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.93% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)34.07% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.05% (-0.064 -0.06)55.95% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Barnet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.59% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)9.41% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.35% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)31.65% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.35% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)35.64% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)72.41% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barnet 66.96%
    Dorking Wanderers 14.94%
    Draw 18.09%
BarnetDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 9.37% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.93% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 7.38% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 4.5% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.32% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.13% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.62%
Total : 66.96%
1-1 @ 8.18% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.35% (0.01 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.09%
1-2 @ 4.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 3.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.71%
1-3 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 14.94%

How you voted: Barnet vs Dorking

Barnet
92.9%
Draw
0.0%
Dorking Wanderers
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
Dorking
2-3
Barnet
Taylor (5'), Prior (21')
Francomb (33'), Taylor (62'), Pybus (67')
Kabamba (56'), Hartigan (67'), Collinge (70')
Brunt (37'), (90+1')
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Dorking
2-1
Barnet
Taylor (41'), Francomb (56')
Smith (12')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Barnet
0-1
Dorking
Taylor (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City23146347202748
2Barnet23153547262148
3Forest Green RoversForest Green22137240182246
4Gateshead23135545281744
5Oldham AthleticOldham21127238191943
6Rochdale21113731191236
7Solihull MoorsSolihull2310584236635
8Halifax TownHalifax239862623335
9AltrinchamAltrincham239773730734
10Yeovil TownYeovil2310492825334
11Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool238962625133
12Eastleigh228863028232
13Sutton UnitedSutton239593029132
14Tamworth228592538-1329
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red227783529628
16Southend UnitedSouthend236982427-327
17Woking2366112133-1224
18WealdstoneWealdstone225892732-523
19Aldershot TownAldershot2358103240-823
20Fylde2364132847-1922
21Braintree TownBraintree2355131933-1420
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2355132745-1820
23Boston UnitedBoston2236131937-1815
24Ebbsfleet2316161754-379
> National League Full Table


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