Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Altrincham |
31.09% ( -1.69) | 25.08% ( 0.15) | 43.83% ( 1.54) |
Both teams to score 55.96% ( -1.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.66% ( -1.28) | 47.34% ( 1.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.44% ( -1.2) | 69.56% ( 1.2) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.39% ( -1.71) | 28.61% ( 1.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.58% ( -2.2) | 64.42% ( 2.2) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.4% ( 0.17) | 21.6% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.29% ( 0.26) | 54.71% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Altrincham |
1-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.28) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.65% Total : 31.09% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.45) 1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.46% Total : 43.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
9 | Rochdale | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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