Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 75.91%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 10.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 3-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.04%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.