Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.56%) and 1-3 (4.97%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.