Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 53.25%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.12%) and 1-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.