Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.