Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.