Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.