Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 74.81%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 10.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 3-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.64%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.