Arsenal

2 - 0

Luton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 85.88%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 4.46%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 4-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.55%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (1.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.