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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Brentford logo

Arsenal
2 - 1
Brentford

Rice (19'), Havertz (86')
Magalhaes (10'), Havertz (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wissa (45+4')
Onyeka (4'), Jorgensen (21'), Wissa (72'), Collins (90+9')

The Match

Match Report

Kai Havertz's 86th-minute header sends Arsenal to the top of the Premier League table as the Gunners prevail 2-1 against London rivals Brentford.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Brentford.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Arsenal and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Saturday's Premier League London derby with Brentford.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Brentford.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 2-2 Chelsea
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 76.64%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawBrentford
76.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 14.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0) 9% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
Both teams to score 52.17% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.9% (0.016999999999996 0.02)32.1% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.32% (0.018999999999998 0.02)53.68% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)6.87% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.72% (0.012 0.01)25.27% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.02% (0.0039999999999978 0)43.97% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.9% (0.0040000000000013 0)80.1% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 76.64%
    Brentford 9%
    Draw 14.36%
ArsenalDrawBrentford
2-0 @ 10.83%
3-0 @ 9.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 6.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 5.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 3.47% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 3.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 1.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 76.64%
1-1 @ 6.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.66%
0-0 @ 3.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 14.36%
1-2 @ 2.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 2.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 9%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Brentford

Arsenal
83.1%
Draw
8.8%
Brentford
8.0%
249
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 13
Brentford
0-1
Arsenal

Ajer (45+1')
Havertz (89')
Martinelli (56')
Sep 27, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round
Brentford
0-1
Arsenal

Wissa (67'), Jorgensen (90+6')
Nelson (8')
White (41'), Nketiah (54')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Arsenal
1-1
Brentford
Trossard (66')
Toney (74')
Sep 18, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 8
Brentford
0-3
Arsenal
Saliba (17'), Jesus (28'), Vieira (49')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Arsenal
2-1
Brentford
Smith Rowe (48'), Saka (79')
Magalhaes (86')
Norgaard (90+3')
Jansson (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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