Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 28

Mar 9, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Emirates Stadium

Arsenal
2 - 1
Brentford

Rice (19'), Havertz (86')
Magalhaes (10'), Havertz (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wissa (45+4')
Onyeka (4'), Jorgensen (21'), Wissa (72'), Collins (90+9')

Mikel Arteta hails "amazing" Aaron Ramsdale reaction to Brentford howler

Mikel Arteta praises Aaron Ramsdale's "amazing" reaction to his first-half error in Saturday's 2-1 Premier League win over Brentford.

Mar 9, 21:38

Arsenal's Gabriel Martinelli is helped off the pitch after sustaining an injury on March 4, 2024

Gabriel Martinelli 'seen on crutches after Arsenal victory'

Arsenal attacker Gabriel Martinelli reportedly walks through the mixed zone on crutches following the Gunners' 2-1 Premier League win over Brentford.

Mar 9, 22:43

Brentford manager Thomas Frank before the match on December 27, 2023

Thomas Frank: 'Kai Havertz should have been sent off in Arsenal defeat'

Brentford head coach Thomas Frank believes that Kai Havertz should have been sent off before scoring Arsenal's winner in Saturday's clash with the Bees.

Mar 10, 01:18

Arsenal's Kai Havertz celebrates scoring their second goal on March 9, 2024

Arsenal join exclusive Premier League club with Brentford victory

Arsenal become just the fourth team to win their opening eight Premier League games of a calendar year with their 2-1 victory over Brentford on Saturday evening.

Mar 10, 11:11

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-6 Arsenal
Monday, March 4 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brentford

All competitions

Last Game: Brentford 2-2 Chelsea
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 76.64%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (2.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Arsenal	Draw	Brentford
76.64% ( 0.01)	14.36% ( -0)	9% ( -0)

Both teams to score 52.17% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.9% (

0.02)

32.1% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.32% (

0.02)

53.68% (

-0.02)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.12% (

6.87% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.72% (

0.01)

25.27% (

-0.02)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.02% (

43.97% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.9% (

80.1% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Arsenal 76.64%

Brentford 9%

Draw 14.36%

Arsenal	Draw	Brentford
2-0 @ 10.83% 3-0 @ 9.67% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.95% ( 0) 4-0 @ 6.47% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.32% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.47% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.85% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.19% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.55% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.27% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.66% Total : 76.64%	1-1 @ 6.65% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.66% 0-0 @ 3.02% ( -0) Other @ 1.03% Total : 14.36%	1-2 @ 2.73% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.48% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.76% Total : 9%