Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 17.32%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.