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Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Nottingham Forest logo

Brentford
3 - 2
Nott'm Forest

Toney (19'), Mee (58'), Maupay (68')
Toney (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Danilo (3'), Wood (65')
Mangala (18'), Danilo (51'), Montiel (54')

The Match

Match Report

Ivan Toney caps his return to football with a goal in Brentford's 3-2 win over Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on Saturday.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 23.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawNottingham Forest
52.32% (-1.139 -1.14) 23.86% (0.243 0.24) 23.81% (0.892 0.89)
Both teams to score 54.16% (0.282 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.97% (-0.14 -0.14)47.02% (0.134 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.73% (-0.13 -0.13)69.26% (0.125 0.13)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05% (-0.476 -0.48)17.94% (0.47 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.22% (-0.823 -0.82)48.77% (0.819 0.82)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66% (0.72 0.72)33.99% (-0.725 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.32% (0.771 0.77)70.67% (-0.776 -0.78)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 52.32%
    Nottingham Forest 23.81%
    Draw 23.85%
BrentfordDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 10.48% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-1 @ 5.56% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.15% (-0.214 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.127 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 52.32%
1-1 @ 11.3% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.034 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.074 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 6.58% (0.165 0.17)
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.178 0.18)
0-2 @ 3.55% (0.157 0.16)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.106 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.28% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 23.81%

How you voted: Brentford vs Nott'm Forest

Brentford
51.1%
Draw
28.8%
Nottingham Forest
20.1%
139
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 7
Nott'm Forest
1-1
Brentford
Dominguez (65')
Niakhate (30'), Sangare (68')
Niakhate (56')
Norgaard (58')
Hickey (2'), Onyeka (88')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Brentford
2-1
Nott'm Forest
Toney (82'), Dasilva (90+4')
Danilo (45+1')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Nott'm Forest
2-2
Brentford
Gibbs-White (20'), Jorgensen (90+6' og.)
Mbeumo (45+3' pen.), Wissa (75')
Mar 20, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Brentford
1-1
Nott'm Forest
Toney (12' pen.)
Janelt (26'), Dalsgaard (35'), Marcondes (90')
Krovinovic (63')
Mighten (25'), Cafu (67'), Ameobi (78'), Figueiredo (90')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 18
Nott'm Forest
1-3
Brentford
Worrall (90+2')
Figueiredo (61'), Samba (64'), Knockaert (79')
Knockaert (90+5')
Dalsgaard (15'), Dasilva (83'), Toney (88')
Toney (64'), Raya (82'), Janelt (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1311112681834
2Arsenal1374226141225
3Chelsea1374226141225
4Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton136522217523
5Manchester CityMan City137242219323
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest136431613322
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1362528141420
8Brentford136252623320
9Manchester UnitedMan Utd135441713419
10Fulham135441818019
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle135441414019
12Aston Villa135441922-319
13Bournemouth135352019118
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham134361724-715
15Everton132561021-1111
16Leicester CityLeicester132471627-1110
17Crystal Palace131661118-79
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves132382232-109
19Ipswich TownIpswich131661324-119
20Southampton1312101025-155


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