Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Brentford3 - 2Nott'm Forest
The Match
Match Report
Ivan Toney caps his return to football with a goal in Brentford's 3-2 win over Nottingham Forest in the Premier League on Saturday.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wolves 3-2 Brentford
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.30pm in FA Cup
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Blackpool 2-3 Nott'm Forest
Wednesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Wednesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
52.32% ( -1.14) | 23.86% ( 0.24) | 23.81% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 54.16% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.97% ( -0.14) | 47.02% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.73% ( -0.13) | 69.26% ( 0.13) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.05% ( -0.48) | 17.94% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.22% ( -0.82) | 48.77% ( 0.82) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66% ( 0.72) | 33.99% ( -0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.32% ( 0.77) | 70.67% ( -0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
Brentford 52.32%
Nottingham Forest 23.81%
Draw 23.85%
| Brentford | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 1-0 @ 10.48% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 9% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 3% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.13)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.53% Total : 52.32% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.85% | 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.22% Total : 23.81% |
How you voted: Brentford vs Nott'm Forest
Brentford
51.1%Draw
28.8%Nottingham Forest
20.1%139
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Mar 20, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Brentford
1-1
Nott'm Forest
Form Guide
Build-up
Ivan Toney to start and captain Brentford on return to football
Brentford boss Thomas Frank confirms that Ivan Toney will start and captain the side on his return from competitive action.
1 year ago
Nottingham Forest without Morgan Gibbs-White, Anthony Elanga for Brentford clash
Nuno Espirito Santo confirms that Nottingham Forest will be without Morgan Gibbs-White and Anthony Elanga for their trip to Brentford on Saturday.
1 year ago
