FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 5, 2024 at 7.15pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
1 - 1
Wolves

Maupay (41')
Damsgaard (27'), Roerslev (37'), Lewis-Potter (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Doyle (64')
Bueno (81'), Semedo (90+5')
Gomes (9')

The Match

Team News

Wolverhampton Wanderers make three changes for Friday's FA Cup third round tie against Brentford.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's FA Cup clash between Brentford and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions

Last Game: Crystal Palace 3-1 Brentford
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wolverhampton Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Wolves 3-0 Everton
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Brentford 1-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers

Brentford must cut out the defensive errors that have proven costly in recent weeks if they wish to claim a positive result against an in-form Wolves side, who will hope to deliver once again in the final third despite the absence of key man Hwang. A tighter affair could in store if both sides opt to make several changes, but the momentum is with a buoyant Wolves outfit nevertheless, and they should have enough strength in depth to outscore the Bees en route to booking their place in the fourth round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
50.04% ( 0.07)	23.54% ( -0.16)	26.43% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 57.95% (

0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.74% (

0.83)

43.26% (

-0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.34% (

0.81)

65.66% (

-0.8)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.6% (

0.34)

17.4% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.18% (

0.58)

47.82% (

-0.58)

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.16% (

0.52)

29.84% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.07% (

0.62)

65.93% (

-0.61)

Score Analysis

Brentford 50.04%

Wolverhampton Wanderers 26.43%

Draw 23.53%

Brentford	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.6% 1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.86% Total : 50.04%	1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.53%	1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 26.43%