Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 37.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Burnley |
37.56% ( -0.02) | 25.04% ( -0.01) | 37.39% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 57.63% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.17% ( 0.04) | 45.82% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.86% ( 0.04) | 68.14% ( -0.03) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.96% ( 0.01) | 24.04% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.69% ( 0.01) | 58.31% ( -0) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.87% ( 0.04) | 24.13% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.56% ( 0.05) | 58.43% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Burnley |
2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 37.56% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 25.03% | 1-2 @ 8.36% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.25% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.86% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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