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Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Burnley logo

Brentford
3 - 0
Burnley

Wissa (25'), Mbeumo (62'), Ghoddos (87')
Ajer (46'), Onyeka (53'), Frank (61'), Jensen (69'), Janelt (85'), Ghoddos (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Berge (32'), Roberts (42'), Cullen (45+2')
Roberts (78')

The Match

Match Report

Two stunning second-half goals from Bryan Mbeumo and Saman Ghoddos help Brentford to a routine win over Burnley in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-4 Chelsea
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawBurnley
31.55% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 26.32% (-0.029 -0.03) 42.13% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Both teams to score 52.12% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.59% (0.114 0.11)52.41% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.91% (0.098000000000003 0.1)74.09% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15% (0.035000000000011 0.04)30.85% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.87% (0.039999999999999 0.04)67.13% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37% (0.085999999999999 0.09)24.62% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86% (0.119 0.12)59.13% (-0.121 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 31.55%
    Burnley 42.12%
    Draw 26.32%
BrentfordDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.89% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 31.55%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.6% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 10.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 42.12%

How you voted: Brentford vs Burnley

Brentford
72.8%
Draw
13.6%
Burnley
13.6%
103
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Brentford
2-0
Burnley
Toney (85', 90+4' pen.)
Toney (86')

Tarkowski (89')
Collins (90+2')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Burnley
3-1
Brentford
Wood (4'), Lowton (32'), Cornet (36')
McNeil (83')
Ghoddos (79')
Ghoddos (72')
Jan 15, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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