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Brentford logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Arsenal logo

Brentford
0 - 1
Arsenal


Wissa (67'), Jorgensen (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nelson (8')
White (41'), Nketiah (54')

The Match

Match Report

Arsenal progress to the fourth round of the EFL Cup courtesy of a nail-biting 1-0 win over London rivals Brentford at the Gtech Community Stadium.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Brentford and Arsenal.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Brentford and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round clash with Brentford.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup third-round clash with Brentford.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 1-3 Everton
Saturday, September 23 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-2 Spurs
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 49.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 24.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-0 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.

Result
BrentfordDrawArsenal
24.89% (-0.332 -0.33) 25.37% (0.074000000000002 0.07) 49.74% (0.258 0.26)
Both teams to score 50.62% (-0.542 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.75% (-0.555 -0.56)52.25% (0.556 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.05% (-0.481 -0.48)73.95% (0.48099999999999 0.48)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.09% (-0.59100000000001 -0.59)35.91% (0.591 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.31% (-0.613 -0.61)72.68% (0.611 0.61)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.98% (-0.11500000000001 -0.12)21.02% (0.115 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.19% (-0.18 -0.18)53.81% (0.18 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 24.89%
    Arsenal 49.74%
    Draw 25.36%
BrentfordDrawArsenal
1-0 @ 7.73% (0.046 0.05)
2-1 @ 6.18% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-0 @ 3.96% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.11% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.89%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.165 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 11.77% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 9.4% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.18% (0.138 0.14)
1-3 @ 4.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.77% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.91% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.86% (0.015 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 49.74%

How you voted: Brentford vs Arsenal

Brentford
20.2%
Arsenal
79.8%
109
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Arsenal
1-1
Brentford
Trossard (66')
Toney (74')
Sep 18, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 8
Brentford
0-3
Arsenal
Saliba (17'), Jesus (28'), Vieira (49')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Arsenal
2-1
Brentford
Smith Rowe (48'), Saka (79')
Magalhaes (86')
Norgaard (90+3')
Jansson (81')
Aug 13, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 1
Brentford
2-0
Arsenal
Canos (22'), Norgaard (73')
Sep 26, 2018 7.45pm
Third Round
Arsenal
3-1
Brentford
Welbeck (5', 37'), Lacazette (90')
Lichtsteiner (28'), Welbeck (63')
Judge (58')
Konsa (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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