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EFL Cup
Newport County
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Brentford logo

Newport
1 - 1
Brentford

Rai (90+6')
Charsley (6'), Lewis (76'), Payne (90+4')
FT
(aet)
Jensen (87')
Brentford win 3-0 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Newport County and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Newport 3-1 Sutton
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two

Brentford

All competitions
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Premier League

We say: Newport County 0-2 Brentford

 Although they are likely to make a few changes to their starting lineup, Brentford should have more than enough quality to breeze past Newport County and book their place in the next round. The Bees made a push for the European spots last season, but they will be hoping they can go further in the EFL Cup, having exited at the third round stage against Gillingham in the previous campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawBrentford
40.97% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 26.33% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 32.69% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Both teams to score 52.49% (0.183 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.89% (0.222 0.22)52.11% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.17% (0.193 0.19)73.83% (-0.19500000000001 -0.2)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (0.079000000000008 0.08)25.08% (-0.084 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (0.111 0.11)59.77% (-0.113 -0.11)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.07% (0.16799999999999 0.17)29.93% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96% (0.204 0.2)66.03% (-0.206 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 40.97%
    Brentford 32.69%
    Draw 26.33%
Newport CountyDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 10.38% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.99% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 40.97%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.55% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 32.69%

How you voted: Newport vs Brentford

Newport County
22.1%
Brentford
77.9%
68
rhs 2.0
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5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


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