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Championship header 2

League Two
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Newport County

Accrington
3 - 0
Newport

Nolan (24'), Whalley (80'), Adedoyin (90+4')
Shipley (37'), Leigh (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Blackburn
Saturday, July 8 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Bristol City 8-0 Newport
Saturday, July 22 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Accrington Stanley 2-1 Newport County

 Both teams have undergone plenty of change in terms of playing personnel during the summer transfer window so far, but the fact that they have retained their managers should help settle things down. Accrington will be hoping to bounce back to the third tier at the first attempt this season, and we can envisage them having a little too much quality for their opponents in a potentially entertaining encounter on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawNewport County
34.6% (0.144 0.14) 25.95% (-0.373 -0.37) 39.44% (0.23099999999999 0.23)
Both teams to score 54.19% (1.267 1.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.86% (1.611 1.61)50.14% (-1.609 -1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.89% (1.417 1.42)72.1% (-1.416 -1.42)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (0.86799999999999 0.87)27.75% (-0.868 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68% (1.1 1.1)63.32% (-1.099 -1.1)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75% (0.861 0.86)25% (-0.86 -0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.35% (1.18 1.18)59.65% (-1.18 -1.18)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 34.6%
    Newport County 39.44%
    Draw 25.95%
Accrington StanleyDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 8.89% (-0.366 -0.37)
2-1 @ 7.9% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.7% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.38% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.44% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.131 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.08% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 34.6%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 6.94% (-0.463 -0.46)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.18 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.384 -0.38)
1-2 @ 8.55% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.67% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.95% (0.132 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.08% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.143 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.37% (0.078 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.44%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2018 7.45pm
Newport
2-1
Accrington
Amond (30'), Nouble (85')
White (66'), Demetriou (88')
Kee (90')
Brown (61')
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Accrington
1-1
Newport
Wilks (88')
Nouble (48')
Tozer (90')
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Newport
1-0
Accrington
Randall (60')
Rigg (29'), O'Brien (38'), Owen-Evans (96')

Brown (83'), McCartan (91')
Oct 29, 2016 3pm
Accrington
1-3
Newport
Donacien (79')
Gornell (44'), McCartan (85')
Healey (47'), Barnum-Bobb (62'), Sheehan (94')
Rigg (56'), Myrie-Williams (65'), Sheehan (91')
Mar 28, 2016 3pm
Newport
0-2
Accrington
Kee (35'), Windass (37')
Davies (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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