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League One | Gameweek 39
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Bolton
0 - 1
Accrington

FT(HT: 0-1)
Hamilton (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Accrington
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Accrington Stanley

Another slender victory is expected for the playoff chasers, who hope one goal is enough to secure maximum points against a side that have kept a sole clean sheet in their last 11 games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 71.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 10.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.47%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawAccrington Stanley
71.12% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 17.89% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 10.99% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.7% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.87% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)43.13% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.47% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)65.53% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.16% (0.0040000000000049 0)10.84% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.08% (0.0040000000000049 0)34.92% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.37% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)47.63% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.04% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)82.96% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 71.12%
    Accrington Stanley 10.99%
    Draw 17.89%
Bolton WanderersDrawAccrington Stanley
2-0 @ 12.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 9.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 7% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 5.24% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.89% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 2.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 71.12%
1-1 @ 8.51% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-0 @ 5.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 17.89%
0-1 @ 3.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 3.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 10.99%

How you voted: Bolton vs Accrington

Bolton Wanderers
90.3%
Draw
6.5%
Accrington Stanley
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals
Accrington
0-2
Bolton

Presley (21'), Coyle (41')
McConville (22')
Kachunga (82'), Morley (84')
Trafford (52'), Morley (64')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
gameweek 16
Accrington
2-3
Bolton
Whalley (8'), Johnston (48' og.)
Clark (42')
Rodgers (56' og.), Lee (71'), Afolayan (75')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
gameweek 44
Bolton
3-1
Accrington
Afolayan (42'), Dadi Bodvarsson (69', 89')
Afolayan (29'), John (45+3'), Amaechi (65'), Williams (70')
Bagueloc'rich (50')
Clark (41'), McConville (45+3'), Bagueloc'rich (45+5'), Conneely (76')
Longelo-Mbule (82')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
gameweek 22
Accrington
1-0
Bolton
Leigh (20')
Amankwah (45'), Coyle (50'), Savin (63')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
gameweek 36
Bolton
0-0
Accrington

Bryan (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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20-15
Giants
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wrexham7511146816
2Birmingham CityBirmingham6510136716
3Barnsley74121210213
4Charlton AthleticCharlton741275213
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield7403118312
6Lincoln CityLincoln6321106411
7Stockport CountyStockport6321106411
8Peterborough UnitedPeterborough73221211111
9Blackpool73221313011
10Mansfield TownMansfield63211111011
11Wycombe WanderersWycombe63121210210
12Exeter CityExeter63038629
13Northampton TownNorthampton62228718
14Wigan AthleticWigan72236518
15Stevenage72235508
16Leyton Orient7214911-27
17Reading6213710-37
18Crawley TownCrawley621358-37
19Bolton WanderersBolton6213711-47
20Bristol Rovers7214611-57
21Rotherham UnitedRotherham713359-46
22Burton Albion6042810-24
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury7106512-73
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge6015613-71


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