League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Burton Albion1 - 1Bolton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burton Albion 3-2 Sheff Weds
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Bolton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One
We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Bolton Wanderers
Burton have hugely improved as the season has worn on, and we expect Maamria's side to prove extremly difficult to beat once again on Tuesday. With Bolton having three consecutive home fixtures to come after this trip to the Midlands, the visitors may be more than content with getting out of the Pirelli Stadium with a point. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 2-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
22.54% ( 1.26) | 22.84% ( 0.06) | 54.61% ( -1.32) |
| Both teams to score 55.93% ( 1.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.08% ( 1.24) | 43.92% ( -1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.69% ( 1.2) | 66.3% ( -1.21) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.58% ( 1.87) | 33.42% ( -1.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.95% ( 2) | 70.04% ( -2.01) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.01% ( -0.02) | 15.99% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.69% ( -0.03) | 45.3% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Burton Albion 22.54%
Bolton Wanderers 54.61%
Draw 22.84%
| Burton Albion | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.3% Total : 22.54% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.25)0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.3)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.84% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.55)0-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.51)1-3 @ 6.01% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.49% ( -0.31)2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 2.76% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.07)1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.49% Total : 54.61% |
How you voted: Burton Albion vs Bolton
Burton Albion
57.1%Draw
19.0%Bolton Wanderers
23.8%21
Form Guide
