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League One
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Bolton logo

Burton Albion
1 - 1
Bolton

Walker (59')
Powell (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adeboyejo (5')
Williams (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Burton Albion 3-2 Sheff Weds
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Bolton
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

 Burton have hugely improved as the season has worn on, and we expect Maamria's side to prove extremly difficult to beat once again on Tuesday. With Bolton having three consecutive home fixtures to come after this trip to the Midlands, the visitors may be more than content with getting out of the Pirelli Stadium with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 22.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 2-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBolton Wanderers
22.54% (1.259 1.26) 22.84% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 54.61% (-1.323 -1.32)
Both teams to score 55.93% (1.564 1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.08% (1.24 1.24)43.92% (-1.246 -1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.69% (1.198 1.2)66.3% (-1.205 -1.21)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.58% (1.873 1.87)33.42% (-1.879 -1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.95% (2.003 2)70.04% (-2.01 -2.01)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.01% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)15.99% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.69% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)45.3% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 22.54%
    Bolton Wanderers 54.61%
    Draw 22.84%
Burton AlbionDrawBolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 5.89% (0.277 0.28)
1-0 @ 5.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.21% (0.152 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.203 0.2)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.186 0.19)
3-0 @ 1.17% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 22.54%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.251 0.25)
0-0 @ 5.34% (-0.295 -0.3)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.84%
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-1 @ 9.79% (-0.546 -0.55)
0-2 @ 8.98% (-0.506 -0.51)
1-3 @ 6.01% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.49% (-0.312 -0.31)
2-3 @ 3.3% (0.152 0.15)
1-4 @ 2.76% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.52% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.51% (0.069 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.92% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 54.61%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Bolton

Burton Albion
57.1%
Draw
19.0%
Bolton Wanderers
23.8%
21
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Bolton
2-1
Burton Albion
Bakayoko (87'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+8')
Afolayan (49')
Hughes (73')
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Burton Albion
3-1
Bolton
Powell (11'), Brayford (14', 18')
Mancienne (55')
Charles (90+4')
Williams (68')
Sep 6, 2021 8pm
Bolton
0-0
Burton Albion

Williams (36'), Evatt (90+5'), Johnston (90+5')

Hamer (9'), Akins (19'), Brayford (69'), Shaughnessy (80')
Brayford (86')
Mar 10, 2020 7.45pm
Burton Albion
2-2
Bolton
Murphy (28', 65')
Sbarra (90')
Delaney (20'), Hamilton (38')
Nsiala (34')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Bolton
3-4
Burton Albion
Dodoo (5'), Murphy (11'), Politic (84')
Murphy (29'), Buckley (75')
Murphy (49')
Templeton (13'), Akins (26', 45'), Boyce (81')
Fraser (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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