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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Peterborough United |
30.05% ( 0.02) | 25.8% ( 0.01) | 44.14% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 53.1% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.16% ( -0.02) | 50.84% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.28% ( -0.02) | 72.72% ( 0.02) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.91% ( 0.01) | 31.09% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.58% ( 0.01) | 67.42% ( -0) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.05% ( -0.02) | 22.95% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.28% ( -0.04) | 56.72% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Peterborough United |
1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.79% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.05% 3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.05% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 10.5% 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.73% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.79% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.4% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 44.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |