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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
49.89% ( 0.09) | 23.92% ( 0) | 26.18% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 56.42% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.81% ( -0.09) | 45.19% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.46% ( -0.09) | 67.54% ( 0.09) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.82% ( 0) | 18.18% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.82% ( 0) | 49.18% ( -0) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.95% ( -0.12) | 31.04% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.64% ( -0.14) | 67.36% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 3.51% Total : 49.89% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.92% | 0-1 @ 6.6% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 16 |
3 | Barnsley | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
9 | Blackpool | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
13 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
14 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
15 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
16 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
17 | Reading | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Crawley TownCrawley | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
19 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Burton Albion | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |